Baseball Card Market Report for November 23-29, 2023 - Top eBay Sales post
PLUS -- Is 1989 Upper Deck different than all the rest?
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Black Borders and “The Mack”
Over on Twitter this week, I asked what folks thought about the asking price for a 1971 Topps Bobby Grich rookie card. The responses and discussion were fun, especially in light of the Black Borders falling roughly in line with the ongoing Black Friday mania.
I bring that up here because a couple of spiffy 1971 Topps cards show up in the list of the most expensive baseball cards sold on eBay last week. They live in a much pricier neighborhood than that Grich does, at least for now.
There’s plenty of other interesting fodder down there in that list (bottom of post), including the much coveted “Mackey” Mantle rookie card.
So that’s different.
That leads us to this week’s question, which also deals with the “different”…
Is 1989 Upper Deck Different Than All the Rest?
Last week on YouTube, we took a look at recent sales of 1989 Upper Deck baseball cards. You can check out that video right here, or below:
That set — 1989 Upper Deck baseball — is usually hailed as a hobby changer, and it’s hard to argue with that. But the intervening years have shown us that 1989 UD is just about as plentiful as most other sets from the Junk Wax Era.
Maybe not quite as overblown, production-wise, as, say, the 1990 Fleer mess, but not in a totally different league, either.
So how do those competing forces of iconic set v. overproduction play out in the card market all these years later?
Or, to put it another way, are 1989 Upper Deck cards different — better — than all the rest when it comes to holding or increasing in value?
We can gather some clues by looking at card prices before and after the pandemic, as we’ve been doing recently for several different sets and several different players.
In this case, though, I want to compare a handful of Hall of Famers (and a near Hall of Famer) across their rookie cards in the various 1989 base sets. The players I’m going to look at are:
Ken Griffey, Jr.
Gary Sheffield
Randy Johnson
John Smoltz
In each case, I found selling prices for PSA 10 copies of their RCs in October 2019 and compared them with selling prices in October 2023, by way of the PSA Auction Prices Realized tool.
The sets I considered were Upper Deck (duh), Donruss, Fleer, Score, and Topps base issues. Not every guy appeared in every set.
Here is what I found, card-by-card, with some analysis to follow after the full listings:
1989 Upper Deck Ken Griffey, Jr. (#1) - PSA 10
2019 price: $500
2023 price: $1800
Profit/loss: $1300
% change: 260
Check prices on eBay (affiliate link)
1989 Donruss Ken Griffey, Jr. (#33) - PSA 10
2019 price: $300
2023 price: $235
Profit/loss: -$65
% change: -22
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1989 Fleer Ken Griffey, Jr. (#548) - PSA 10
2019 price: $75
2023 price: $100
Profit/loss: $25
% change: 33
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1989 Upper Deck Gary Sheffield (#13) - PSA 10
2019 price: $15
2023 price: $25
Profit/loss: $10
% change: 67
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1989 Donruss Gary Sheffield (#31) - PSA 10
2019 price: $30
2023 price: $30
Profit/loss: $0
% change: 0
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1989 Fleer Gary Sheffield (#196) - PSA 10
2019 price: $17
2023 price: $20
Profit/loss: $3
% change: 18
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1989 Topps Gary Sheffield (#343) - PSA 10
2019 price: $15
2023 price: $30
Profit/loss: $15
% change: 100
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1989 Upper Deck Randy Johnson (#25) - PSA 10
2019 price: $50
2023 price: $90
Profit/loss: $40
% change: 80
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1989 Donruss Randy Johnson (#42) - PSA 10
2019 price: $40
2023 price: $45
Profit/loss: $5
% change: 13
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1989 Fleer Randy Johnson (#381) - PSA 10
2019 price: $20
2023 price: $30
Profit/loss: $10
% change: 50
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1989 Score Randy Johnson (#645) - PSA 10
2019 price: $20
2023 price: $30
Profit/loss: $10
% change: 50
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1989 Topps Randy Johnson (#647) - PSA 10
2019 price: $30
2023 price: $45
Profit/loss: $15
% change: 50
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1989 Upper Deck John Smoltz (#17) - PSA 10
2019 price: $25
2023 price: $32
Profit/loss: $7
% change: 28
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1989 Donruss John Smoltz (#642) - PSA 10
2019 price: $12
2023 price: $25
Profit/loss: $13
% change: 108
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1989 Fleer John Smoltz (#602) - PSA 10
2019 price: $13
2023 price: $20
Profit/loss: $7
% change: 54
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1989 Score John Smoltz (#616) - PSA 10
2019 price: $23
2023 price: $20
Profit/loss: -$3
% change: -13
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1989 Topps John Smoltz (#382) - PSA 10
2019 price: $30
2023 price: $35
Profit/loss: $5
% change: 17
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—
Overall, most of the cards went up in selling price over the last four years, though a couple fell, and another flatlined.
We can split out these changes a couple of different ways: by player and by set.
First, if we look at the average change for each player, we see the following:
Ken Griffey, Jr. - 144% increase
Gary Sheffield - 36% increase
Randy Johnson - 50 % increase
John Smoltz - 28 % increase
So Griffey is the clear winner, followed by the other stone-cold legend on this list, Johnson.
Sheffield outdistanced Smoltz, maybe because the former is still on the yearly Hall of Fame ballot and gets a boost in limelight each December and January.
Now, if we look at how the sets performed, based on these players’ rookie cards, we see:
1989 Donruss - 12% increase
1989 Fleer - 35% increase
1989 Score - 16% increase
1989 Topps - 47% increase
1989 Upper Deck - 230% increase
So Upper Deck wins going away … or do they? Take away the Griffey RC, which many consider to be the key card of the 90s (I disagree — discussion for another day), and UD drops to a 63 % increase.
That’s still a clear victory, but not quite the runaway trouncing that the Griffey card makes it seem like it is.
All of which is to say that it does appear Upper Deck’s reputation as a monumental set carries a lot of weight in the market, Griffey or not. Add in the mystique and blue-chip earning power of Junior’s RC, and you have a set that looks like a good bet to lead the rest of the 1989 pack when it comes to market value increases for years to come.
Now, here are some other cards their proud new owners hope increase in value over the coming months and years…
Top Baseball Card Sales on eBay for November 23-29, 2023
(Quick note — this list contains affiliate links to the original eBay listings.)
If you want to see updated 30-day market toppers anytime, we have a couple of resources over on WaxPackGods.com:
Most expensive baseball cards sold in the last 30 days
Most expensive football cards sold in the last 30 days
Most expensive basketball cards sold in the last 30 days
Now, on with the show …
1952 Topps #311 Mickey Mantle RC Rookie HOF HIGH# SGC 1 " FANTASTIC CENTERING "
Selling Price: $24,000
Date Sold: 11/27/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
Mackey mantle #311, Baseball trading cards, sports collectable
Selling Price: $20,100
Date Sold: 11/28/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
1953 Topps #82 Mickey Mantle New York Yankees HOF PSA 7 NM
Selling Price: $19,000
Date Sold: 11/27/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
1963 Topps #553 Willie Stargell RC Rookie HOF POP 1 SGC 10 ABSOLUTELY FLAWLESS
Selling Price: $17,870
Date Sold: 11/27/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
1993 Topps Finest Refractor #110 Ken Griffey Jr. Mariners HOF PSA 10 GEM MINT
Selling Price: $15,100
Date Sold: 11/27/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
1957 Topps #95 Mickey Mantle New York Yankees HOF PSA 8 NM-MT
Selling Price: $13,600
Date Sold: 11/28/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
SHOHEI OHTANI PSA 9 2018 BOWMAN CHROME ROOKIE BLUE REFRACTOR AUTO 139/150 RC
Selling Price: $11,900
Date Sold: 11/27/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
1958 Topps #150 Mickey Mantle Yankees HOF PSA 8 NM-MT " SHARP CORNERS "
Selling Price: $10,725
Date Sold: 11/28/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
2009 Mike Trout Bowman Chrome Auto Refractor /500 BGS 9.5 w/10 true Gem Plus 💎
Selling Price: $9,600
Date Sold: 11/23/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
2001 Topps Traded #T247 Gold Albert Pujols RC PSA 10 1524/2001 Pop 20
Selling Price: $9,155
Date Sold: 11/26/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
MICKEY MANTLE HANK AARON PSA 4 1958 TOPPS WORLD SERIES FOES SIGNED DNA AUTO HOF
Selling Price: $9,000
Date Sold: 11/27/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
1933 Goudey Babe Ruth #149 PSA 2.5
Selling Price: $9,000
Date Sold: 11/26/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
1980 TOPPS #610 WILLIE STARGELL PIRATES HOF PSA 10
Selling Price: $7,990
Date Sold: 11/26/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
1989 Bowman Tiffany #220 Ken Griffey Jr. RC Rookie HOF PSA 10 " FLAWLESS "
Selling Price: $7,900
Date Sold: 11/27/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
COREY SEAGER 2012 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT PICKS AUTO RED REFRACTORS RC /5 BGS 9.5
Selling Price: $7,877
Date Sold: 11/28/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
1971 TOPPS #117 TED SIMMONS RC CARDINALS HOF PSA 9 SET BREAK
Selling Price: $7,587
Date Sold: 11/26/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
2018 TOPPS DEFINITIVE SHOHEI OHTANI ROOKIE AUTOGRAPHS GOLD /50 PSA-10 (MVP)
Selling Price: $6,600
Date Sold: 11/28/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
1982 Topps Traded Set-Break # 98T Cal Ripken Jr. PSA 10 GEM MINT
Selling Price: $6,587
Date Sold: 11/25/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
1954 Topps #10 Jackie Robinson Brooklyn Dodgers HOF PSA 8 " LOOKS NICER "
Selling Price: $6,505
Date Sold: 11/28/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
1957 Topps Baseball COMPLETE SET (407) Robinson HOF RC Mantle Mays Aaron
Selling Price: $6,501
Date Sold: 11/23/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
1955 Topps Baseball Complete Set in Archives Binder Clemente PSA 4 Koufax PSA 5
Selling Price: $6,300
Date Sold: 11/24/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
2023 Topps Chrome Update Andruw Monasterio 1/1 MLB Debut Patch Auto Redemption
Selling Price: $6,200
Date Sold: 11/23/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
1959’TOPPS BASEBALL COMPLETE SET 572 CARDS EX/MT TO NM+ CONDITION, SHARP!
Selling Price: $6,000
Date Sold: 11/26/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
1933 Goudey Set-Break # 53 Babe Ruth PSA AUTHENTIC ALTERED
Selling Price: $6,000
Date Sold: 11/26/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
Shohei Ohtani Signed 2022 Topps #660 PSA PSA/DNA 10 KANJI AUTO
Selling Price: $5,656
Date Sold: 11/23/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
2022 Panini Flawless Football Sam Howell Dual Patch Auto Laundry Tag #1/1 (BD)
Selling Price: $5,249
Date Sold: 11/26/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
1963 Topps #200 Mickey Mantle Yankees HOF SGC 8 " SUPER RAZOR SHARP "
Selling Price: $5,213
Date Sold: 11/27/2023
See listing (affiliate link)
1971 TOPPS ALL-STAR ROOKIE #5 THURMAN MUNSON PWCC-A TOP 30% PSA 8 SET BREAK
Selling Price: $5,100
Date Sold: 11/26/2023
See listing (affiliate link)